Nueva Chicago vs Patronato Parana

22 Sep 2026 · 00:00

OPPORTUNITY

Nueva Chicago

Patronato Parana

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 51.3% DRAW 30.6% AWAY 18.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 51.5% 1.87 DRAW 30.1% 3.20 AWAY 18.3% 5.25

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Patronato Parana

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Nueva Chicago Patronato Parana

Shots 10.3 · On target 3.8 Shots 12.8 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Nueva Chicago Patronato Parana

Shots allowed 5.0 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 2.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Nueva Chicago Patronato Parana

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Nueva Chicago ↓ -0.13 (-5.2%)

Patronato Parana ↑ +0.20 (+6.2%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.