Deportivo Moron vs Godoy Cruz

20 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

Deportivo Moron

Godoy Cruz

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 38.5% DRAW 34.6% AWAY 27.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 40.6% 2.39 DRAW 33.5% 2.90 AWAY 25.9% 3.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Godoy Cruz has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Deportivo Moron Godoy Cruz

Shots 7.0 · On target 3.0 Shots 9.5 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours Godoy Cruz, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Deportivo Moron Godoy Cruz

Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 2.5

Godoy Cruz has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Deportivo Moron Godoy Cruz

The combined recent performance profile favours Godoy Cruz.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Deportivo Moron ↑ +0.14 (+6.8%)

Godoy Cruz ↓ -0.53 (-11.8%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.