Agropecuario vs Gimnasia y Tiro

20 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

Agropecuario

Gimnasia y Tiro

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 43.1% DRAW 31.6% AWAY 25.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 44.4% 2.17 DRAW 31.0% 3.11 AWAY 24.7% 3.90

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Gimnasia y Tiro

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Agropecuario Gimnasia y Tiro

Shots 6.8 · On target 1.8 Shots 6.8 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours Gimnasia y Tiro, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Agropecuario Gimnasia y Tiro

Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 3.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Agropecuario Gimnasia y Tiro

The combined recent performance profile favours Gimnasia y Tiro.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Agropecuario ↓ -0.28 (-11.4%)

Gimnasia y Tiro ↑ +0.17 (+4.6%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.