Pyrgos AFC vs Larissa

21 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

Pyrgos AFC

Larissa

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 23.1% DRAW 27.6% AWAY 49.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 21.7% 4.50 DRAW 27.1% 3.60 AWAY 51.2% 1.91

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Larissa

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Pyrgos AFC Larissa

Shots 7.0 · On target 1.3 Shots 7.8 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours Larissa, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Pyrgos AFC Larissa

Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 3.3

Pyrgos AFC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Pyrgos AFC Larissa

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Pyrgos AFC = (0.0%)

Larissa ↑ +0.21 (+12.3%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.