Portmore United vs Humble Lions

27 Sep 2026 · 22:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.5 pp

Portmore United

Humble Lions

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 79.0% DRAW 12.9% AWAY 8.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 75.5% 1.29 DRAW 14.9% 6.50 AWAY 9.6% 10.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Portmore United relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 79.0% win probability, compared with 75.5% implied by the market. The 3.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Portmore United has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Portmore United Humble Lions

Shots 10.8 · On target 3.8 Shots 2.0 · On target 1.0

Recent attacking output favours Portmore United, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Portmore United Humble Lions

Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 5.0

Portmore United has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Portmore United Humble Lions

The combined recent performance profile favours Portmore United.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Portmore United ↑ +0.10 (+8.8%)

Humble Lions ↓ -2.90 (-22.3%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.