Humble Lions vs Waterhouse

22 Sep 2026 · 00:05

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Humble Lions

Waterhouse

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 17.6% DRAW 24.5% AWAY 57.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 18.2% 5.13 DRAW 24.9% 3.75 AWAY 57.0% 1.64

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Waterhouse has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Humble Lions Waterhouse

Shots 1.5 · On target 0.8 Shots 3.3 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours Waterhouse, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Humble Lions Waterhouse

Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 4.0 · On target allowed 0.8

Waterhouse has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Humble Lions Waterhouse

The combined recent performance profile favours Waterhouse.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

No movement data

Humble Lions —

Waterhouse —

No stored odds movement is available for this match.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.