Cavalier vs Arnett Gardens

27 Sep 2026 · 22:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.6 pp

Cavalier

Arnett Gardens

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 36.6% DRAW 27.4% AWAY 36.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 39.0% 2.48 DRAW 27.6% 3.50 AWAY 33.4% 2.89

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Arnett Gardens relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 36.0% win probability, compared with 33.4% implied by the market. The 2.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Arnett Gardens has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Cavalier Arnett Gardens

Shots 9.3 · On target 3.3 Shots 12.0 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours Arnett Gardens, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Cavalier Arnett Gardens

Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 4.0

Arnett Gardens has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Cavalier Arnett Gardens

The combined recent performance profile favours Arnett Gardens.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Cavalier ↑ +0.23 (+10.2%)

Arnett Gardens ↑ +0.27 (+10.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.