Al-Khor SC vs Umm Salal

29 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

Al-Khor SC

Umm Salal

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 33.0% DRAW 26.1% AWAY 40.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 32.2% 2.88 DRAW 26.5% 3.50 AWAY 41.3% 2.24

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Umm Salal

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Al-Khor SC Umm Salal

Shots 4.0 · On target 2.0 Shots 5.5 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours Umm Salal, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Al-Khor SC Umm Salal

Shots allowed 4.5 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 3.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Al-Khor SC Umm Salal

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Al-Khor SC ↓ -0.43 (-12.9%)

Umm Salal ↑ +0.03 (+1.4%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.