Al-Shamal SC vs Al-Mu'aidar

01 Oct 2026 · 19:15

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp

Al-Shamal SC

Al-Mu'aidar

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 60.6% DRAW 18.7% AWAY 20.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 62.0% 1.55 DRAW 19.3% 5.00 AWAY 18.7% 5.15

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Al-Mu'aidar has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Al-Shamal SC Al-Mu'aidar

Shots 7.8 · On target 4.5 Shots 11.3 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output favours Al-Mu'aidar, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Al-Shamal SC Al-Mu'aidar

Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 2.3

Al-Mu'aidar has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Al-Shamal SC Al-Mu'aidar

The combined recent performance profile favours Al-Mu'aidar.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Al-Shamal SC ↑ +0.13 (+9.4%)

Al-Mu'aidar ↓ -0.53 (-9.3%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.