Al-Mu'aidar vs Al-Khor SC

22 Sep 2026 · 19:15

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.9 pp

Al-Mu'aidar

Al-Khor SC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 45.2% DRAW 24.2% AWAY 30.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.3% 2.19 DRAW 25.0% 3.70 AWAY 32.6% 2.84

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Al-Mu'aidar relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 45.2% win probability, compared with 42.3% implied by the market. The 2.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Al-Mu'aidar

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Al-Mu'aidar Al-Khor SC

Shots 13.0 · On target 6.8 Shots 7.8 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours Al-Mu'aidar, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Al-Mu'aidar Al-Khor SC

Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Al-Mu'aidar Al-Khor SC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Al-Mu'aidar ↑ +0.15 (+7.4%)

Al-Khor SC ↓ -0.29 (-9.3%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.