Al Mesaimeer SC vs Al Waab FC

22 Sep 2026 · 19:15

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

Al Mesaimeer SC

Al Waab FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 39.6% DRAW 26.5% AWAY 33.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 41.2% 2.25 DRAW 26.8% 3.45 AWAY 32.0% 2.89

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Al Waab FC has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Al Mesaimeer SC Al Waab FC

Shots 11.0 · On target 4.8 Shots 13.0 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Al Mesaimeer SC Al Waab FC

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 6.5 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 3.8

Al Waab FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Al Mesaimeer SC Al Waab FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Al Waab FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Al Mesaimeer SC ↓ -0.13 (-5.5%)

Al Waab FC ↑ +0.29 (+11.3%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.