Qatar SC Doha vs Al Bidda SC

01 Oct 2026 · 19:15

OPPORTUNITY

STRONG EDGE AWAY +7.8 pp

Qatar SC Doha

Al Bidda SC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 50.0% DRAW 21.3% AWAY 28.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 58.1% 1.65 DRAW 20.9% 4.59 AWAY 20.9% 4.58

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Al Bidda SC substantially higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 28.7% win probability, compared with 20.9% implied by the market. The 7.8 percentage-point difference indicates a strong divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Al Bidda SC has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Qatar SC Doha Al Bidda SC

Shots 5.0 · On target 2.3 Shots 15.3 · On target 8.0

Recent attacking output favours Al Bidda SC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Qatar SC Doha Al Bidda SC

Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 7.3 Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 3.8

Al Bidda SC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Qatar SC Doha Al Bidda SC

The combined recent performance profile favours Al Bidda SC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Qatar SC Doha ↓ -0.02 (-1.0%)

Al Bidda SC ↓ -0.42 (-8.4%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.