Al Kharaitiyat SC vs Al-Wakrah SC

28 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

Al Kharaitiyat SC

Al-Wakrah SC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 23.2% DRAW 25.2% AWAY 51.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 21.9% 4.25 DRAW 25.1% 3.70 AWAY 53.0% 1.76

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Al Kharaitiyat SC

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Al Kharaitiyat SC Al-Wakrah SC

Shots 5.3 · On target 3.3 Shots 5.0 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output favours Al Kharaitiyat SC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Al Kharaitiyat SC Al-Wakrah SC

Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 4.0 · On target allowed 2.0

Al-Wakrah SC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Al Kharaitiyat SC Al-Wakrah SC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Al Kharaitiyat SC ↑ +0.65 (+18.1%)

Al-Wakrah SC ↑ +0.01 (+0.4%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.