SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf vs Sportunion Mauer

23 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.4 pp

SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf

Sportunion Mauer

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 9.8% DRAW 17.0% AWAY 73.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 11.6% 7.90 DRAW 18.6% 4.93 AWAY 69.7% 1.32

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Sportunion Mauer relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 73.2% win probability, compared with 69.7% implied by the market. The 3.4 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Sportunion Mauer has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf Sportunion Mauer

Shots 5.8 · On target 2.3 Shots 14.8 · On target 6.8

Recent attacking output favours Sportunion Mauer, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf Sportunion Mauer

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 4.3

Sportunion Mauer has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf Sportunion Mauer

The combined recent performance profile favours Sportunion Mauer.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf ↓ -0.20 (-2.5%)

Sportunion Mauer ↓ -0.02 (-1.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.