Flamengo Sao Pedro (W) vs EC Juventude (W)

27 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.2 pp

Flamengo Sao Pedro (W)

EC Juventude (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 8.1% DRAW 10.7% AWAY 81.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 4.9% 19.00 DRAW 9.3% 10.00 AWAY 85.7% 1.09

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Flamengo Sao Pedro (W) relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 8.1% win probability, compared with 4.9% implied by the market. The 3.2 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Flamengo Sao Pedro (W) has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Flamengo Sao Pedro (W) EC Juventude (W)

Shots 17.8 · On target 9.5 Shots 11.3 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours Flamengo Sao Pedro (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Flamengo Sao Pedro (W) EC Juventude (W)

Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 5.0

Flamengo Sao Pedro (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Flamengo Sao Pedro (W) EC Juventude (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Flamengo Sao Pedro (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Flamengo Sao Pedro (W) = (0.0%)

EC Juventude (W) = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.