Deportes Concepcion vs Curico Unido

27 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Deportes Concepcion

Curico Unido

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 65.8% DRAW 22.0% AWAY 12.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 64.0% 1.47 DRAW 22.9% 4.10 AWAY 13.2% 7.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Deportes Concepcion has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Deportes Concepcion Curico Unido

Shots 11.3 · On target 4.0 Shots 9.0 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours Deportes Concepcion, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Deportes Concepcion Curico Unido

Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 5.5

Deportes Concepcion has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Deportes Concepcion Curico Unido

The combined recent performance profile favours Deportes Concepcion.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Deportes Concepcion ↑ +0.16 (+11.8%)

Curico Unido ↓ -2.20 (-23.7%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.