Al Sailiya SC vs Al-Rayyan SC

28 Sep 2026 · 19:15

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.5 pp

Al Sailiya SC

Al-Rayyan SC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 18.0% DRAW 23.2% AWAY 58.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 20.3% 4.56 DRAW 24.3% 3.81 AWAY 55.3% 1.68

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Al-Rayyan SC relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 58.8% win probability, compared with 55.3% implied by the market. The 3.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Al-Rayyan SC has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Al Sailiya SC Al-Rayyan SC

Shots 4.8 · On target 2.0 Shots 9.8 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours Al-Rayyan SC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Al Sailiya SC Al-Rayyan SC

Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 7.0 Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 3.8

Al-Rayyan SC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Al Sailiya SC Al-Rayyan SC

The combined recent performance profile favours Al-Rayyan SC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Al Sailiya SC ↓ -0.45 (-8.9%)

Al-Rayyan SC ↑ +0.20 (+13.2%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.