LDU Quito vs Universidad Catolica del Ecuador

21 Sep 2026 · 01:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.7 pp

LDU Quito

Universidad Catolica del Ecuador

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 41.7% DRAW 27.9% AWAY 30.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 43.4% 2.22 DRAW 27.9% 3.45 AWAY 28.7% 3.35

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Universidad Catolica del Ecuador

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

LDU Quito Universidad Catolica del Ecuador

Shots 13.3 · On target 3.8 Shots 11.8 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

LDU Quito Universidad Catolica del Ecuador

Shots allowed 14.8 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 3.5

Universidad Catolica del Ecuador has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

LDU Quito Universidad Catolica del Ecuador

The combined recent performance profile favours Universidad Catolica del Ecuador.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

LDU Quito = (0.0%)

Universidad Catolica del Ecuador ↓ -0.02 (-0.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.