Deportivo Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa

20 Sep 2026 · 23:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

Deportivo Cuenca

Mushuc Runa

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 39.4% DRAW 31.2% AWAY 29.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 39.0% 2.46 DRAW 30.9% 3.10 AWAY 30.1% 3.18

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Mushuc Runa

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Deportivo Cuenca Mushuc Runa

Shots 17.3 · On target 4.3 Shots 12.8 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Deportivo Cuenca Mushuc Runa

Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 2.3

Mushuc Runa has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Deportivo Cuenca Mushuc Runa

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Deportivo Cuenca ↑ +0.22 (+9.8%)

Mushuc Runa ↓ -0.27 (-7.8%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.