Tecnico Universitario vs Delfin SC

20 Sep 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.4 pp

Tecnico Universitario

Delfin SC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 43.8% DRAW 30.7% AWAY 25.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 47.1% 2.06 DRAW 29.8% 3.25 AWAY 23.1% 4.20

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Delfin SC has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Tecnico Universitario Delfin SC

Shots 8.8 · On target 3.8 Shots 11.8 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours Delfin SC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Tecnico Universitario Delfin SC

Shots allowed 14.8 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 2.8

Delfin SC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Tecnico Universitario Delfin SC

The combined recent performance profile favours Delfin SC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Tecnico Universitario ↓ -0.21 (-9.3%)

Delfin SC ↑ +0.88 (+26.5%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.