FK Sarajevo vs FK Sloga Doboj

20 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

FK Sarajevo

FK Sloga Doboj

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 68.4% DRAW 22.2% AWAY 9.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 67.7% 1.36 DRAW 22.5% 4.10 AWAY 9.8% 9.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

FK Sarajevo has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

FK Sarajevo FK Sloga Doboj

Shots 10.0 · On target 3.3 Shots 7.0 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours FK Sarajevo, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FK Sarajevo FK Sloga Doboj

Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 1.8 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 2.5

FK Sarajevo has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FK Sarajevo FK Sloga Doboj

The combined recent performance profile favours FK Sarajevo.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

FK Sarajevo ↓ -0.25 (-15.4%)

FK Sloga Doboj ↑ +3.75 (+71.4%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.