Alajuelense vs Inter San Carlos

21 Sep 2026 · 01:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

Alajuelense

Inter San Carlos

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 52.9% DRAW 27.1% AWAY 19.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 54.3% 1.78 DRAW 26.8% 3.60 AWAY 18.9% 5.11

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Inter San Carlos

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Alajuelense Inter San Carlos

Shots 10.5 · On target 4.3 Shots 16.3 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours Inter San Carlos, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Alajuelense Inter San Carlos

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Alajuelense Inter San Carlos

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Alajuelense ↑ +0.02 (+1.1%)

Inter San Carlos ↓ -0.30 (-5.3%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.