AD San Carlos vs Cartagines

21 Sep 2026 · 03:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

AD San Carlos

Cartagines

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 28.6% DRAW 30.6% AWAY 40.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 29.2% 3.33 DRAW 30.4% 3.20 AWAY 40.5% 2.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Cartagines

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

AD San Carlos Cartagines

Shots 6.5 · On target 2.8 Shots 12.5 · On target 7.3

Recent attacking output favours Cartagines, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

AD San Carlos Cartagines

Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 4.8

AD San Carlos has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

AD San Carlos Cartagines

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

AD San Carlos ↑ +0.46 (+15.8%)

Cartagines ↑ +0.10 (+4.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.