Liverpool Montevideo vs Racing Club de Montevideo

21 Sep 2026 · 01:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Liverpool Montevideo

Racing Club de Montevideo

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 42.1% DRAW 30.5% AWAY 27.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 41.2% 2.32 DRAW 30.3% 3.15 AWAY 28.4% 3.36

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Racing Club de Montevideo

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Liverpool Montevideo Racing Club de Montevideo

Shots 8.5 · On target 3.3 Shots 9.5 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours Racing Club de Montevideo, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Liverpool Montevideo Racing Club de Montevideo

Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 6.3

Liverpool Montevideo has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Liverpool Montevideo Racing Club de Montevideo

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Liverpool Montevideo = (0.0%)

Racing Club de Montevideo = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.