India vs Panama

25 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

India

Panama

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 9.8% DRAW 17.9% AWAY 72.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 9.6% 10.30 DRAW 18.1% 5.44 AWAY 72.4% 1.36

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Panama has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

India Panama

Shots 7.3 · On target 1.8 Shots 8.8 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output favours Panama, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

India Panama

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 2.8

Panama has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

India Panama

The combined recent performance profile favours Panama.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

India ↑ +3.40 (+49.3%)

Panama ↓ -0.04 (-2.9%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.