Atletico Saguntino vs Navalcarnero

23 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

Atletico Saguntino

Navalcarnero

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 30.2% DRAW 31.3% AWAY 38.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 30.6% 3.10 DRAW 31.0% 3.06 AWAY 38.5% 2.46

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Navalcarnero

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Atletico Saguntino Navalcarnero

Shots 7.0 · On target 3.3 Shots 11.3 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours Navalcarnero, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Atletico Saguntino Navalcarnero

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Atletico Saguntino Navalcarnero

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Atletico Saguntino ↑ +0.11 (+3.6%)

Navalcarnero ↑ +0.13 (+5.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.