GE Gloria vs Gramadense

27 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.5 pp

GE Gloria

Gramadense

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 33.4% DRAW 34.9% AWAY 31.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.1% 2.38 DRAW 33.8% 2.68 AWAY 28.1% 3.22

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Gramadense relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 31.7% win probability, compared with 28.1% implied by the market. The 3.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Gramadense has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

GE Gloria Gramadense

Shots 5.8 · On target 1.8 Shots 16.8 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours Gramadense, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

GE Gloria Gramadense

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

GE Gloria Gramadense

The combined recent performance profile favours Gramadense.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

GE Gloria ↑ +0.02 (+0.8%)

Gramadense ↑ +0.09 (+2.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.