Malta vs Liechtenstein

27 Sep 2026 · 18:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp

Malta

Liechtenstein

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 79.7% DRAW 14.0% AWAY 6.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 78.5% 1.26 DRAW 14.9% 6.63 AWAY 6.6% 15.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Malta

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Malta Liechtenstein

Shots 11.0 · On target 4.8 Shots 4.8 · On target 0.8

Recent attacking output favours Malta, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Malta Liechtenstein

Shots allowed 15.5 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 5.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Malta Liechtenstein

The combined recent performance profile favours Malta.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Malta ↓ -0.02 (-1.6%)

Liechtenstein ↑ +4.90 (+46.2%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.