Zambia U20 vs Malawi U20

18 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

Zambia U20

Malawi U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 45.7% DRAW 28.2% AWAY 26.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 47.6% 2.00 DRAW 28.0% 3.40 AWAY 24.4% 3.90

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Malawi U20

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Zambia U20 Malawi U20

Shots 15.0 · On target 6.3 Shots 18.8 · On target 7.5

Recent attacking output favours Malawi U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Zambia U20 Malawi U20

Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Zambia U20 Malawi U20

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Zambia U20 ↑ +0.06 (+3.1%)

Malawi U20 ↑ +0.36 (+10.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.