CD Vargas Torres vs Gualaceo SC

27 Sep 2026 · 22:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

CD Vargas Torres

Gualaceo SC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 41.0% DRAW 33.4% AWAY 25.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 40.6% 2.32 DRAW 32.8% 2.88 AWAY 26.6% 3.54

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: CD Vargas Torres

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

CD Vargas Torres Gualaceo SC

Shots 13.0 · On target 5.0 Shots 9.8 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours CD Vargas Torres, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CD Vargas Torres Gualaceo SC

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 3.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CD Vargas Torres Gualaceo SC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

CD Vargas Torres ↑ +0.08 (+3.6%)

Gualaceo SC ↑ +0.31 (+9.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.