Torque vs Penarol

01 Oct 2026 · 01:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp

Torque

Penarol

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 33.1% DRAW 26.2% AWAY 40.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 31.0% 3.20 DRAW 26.4% 3.75 AWAY 42.6% 2.33

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Torque

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Torque Penarol

Shots 10.5 · On target 6.0 Shots 9.8 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Torque Penarol

Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 2.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Torque Penarol

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Torque ↓ -0.09 (-3.0%)

Penarol ↓ -0.09 (-3.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.