MC Saida vs WA Mostaganem

18 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.2 pp

MC Saida

WA Mostaganem

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 53.0% DRAW 28.0% AWAY 19.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 48.8% 1.83 DRAW 28.8% 3.10 AWAY 22.4% 4.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates MC Saida clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 53.0% win probability, compared with 48.8% implied by the market. The 4.2 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

MC Saida has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

MC Saida WA Mostaganem

Shots 9.0 · On target 4.8 Shots 7.0 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output favours MC Saida, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

MC Saida WA Mostaganem

Shots allowed 3.3 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 5.3

MC Saida has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

MC Saida WA Mostaganem

The combined recent performance profile favours MC Saida.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

MC Saida = (0.0%)

WA Mostaganem = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.