Portuguesa Desportos U20 vs Ponte Preta U20

24 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

Portuguesa Desportos U20

Ponte Preta U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 60.0% DRAW 22.8% AWAY 17.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 59.6% 1.60 DRAW 23.2% 4.10 AWAY 17.2% 5.55

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Ponte Preta U20

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Portuguesa Desportos U20 Ponte Preta U20

Shots 10.5 · On target 4.8 Shots 11.5 · On target 6.5

Recent attacking output favours Ponte Preta U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Portuguesa Desportos U20 Ponte Preta U20

Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 15.3 · On target allowed 6.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Portuguesa Desportos U20 Ponte Preta U20

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Portuguesa Desportos U20 ↑ +0.04 (+2.6%)

Ponte Preta U20 ↑ +0.95 (+20.7%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.