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Lithuania 1 Lyga · LT

FK BE1 vs FK Transinvest II

18 Sep 2026 · 16:30
CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.6 pp
FK BE1
FK Transinvest II
HOME 74.4% DRAW 15.7% AWAY 9.9%
HOME 69.8% 1.35 DRAW 18.0% 5.25 AWAY 12.2% 7.70

StochasticBet rates FK BE1 clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 74.4% win probability, compared with 69.8% implied by the market. The 4.6 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

FK BE1 has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
FK BE1 FK Transinvest II
Shots 14.8 · On target 8.3 Shots 9.5 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours FK BE1, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
FK BE1 FK Transinvest II
Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 6.0

FK BE1 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
FK BE1 FK Transinvest II

The combined recent performance profile favours FK BE1.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

FK BE1 ↓ -0.05 (-3.6%)
FK Transinvest II ↑ +2.45 (+46.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.