Lithuania 1 Lyga
·
LT
FK BE1 vs FK Transinvest II
18 Sep 2026 · 16:30
OPPORTUNITY
FK BE1
FK Transinvest II
STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY
HOME 74.4%
DRAW 15.7%
AWAY 9.9%
MARKET PROBABILITY
HOME
69.8%
1.35
DRAW
18.0%
5.25
AWAY
12.2%
7.70
MATCH INTELLIGENCE
StochasticBet rates FK BE1 clearly higher than the market does.
Our calibrated model estimates a 74.4% win probability, compared with 69.8% implied by the market. The 4.6 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.
PERFORMANCE
FK BE1 has the stronger recent profile
The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.
Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.
MARKET MOVEMENT
Market broadly stable
FK BE1
↓ -0.05
(-3.6%)
FK Transinvest II
↑ +2.45
(+46.7%)
No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.
Latest movement from the stored odds trend.