NK Tomislav Cerna vs Slavija Pleternica

18 Sep 2026 · 16:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

NK Tomislav Cerna

Slavija Pleternica

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 59.2% DRAW 21.9% AWAY 18.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 57.3% 1.60 DRAW 22.9% 4.00 AWAY 19.7% 4.65

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: NK Tomislav Cerna

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

NK Tomislav Cerna Slavija Pleternica

Shots 11.3 · On target 4.8 Shots 5.0 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours NK Tomislav Cerna, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

NK Tomislav Cerna Slavija Pleternica

Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 2.5

Slavija Pleternica has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

NK Tomislav Cerna Slavija Pleternica

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

NK Tomislav Cerna ↓ -0.05 (-3.0%)

Slavija Pleternica ↑ +0.45 (+10.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.