NK Celje U19 vs NS Mura U19

18 Sep 2026 · 16:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.5 pp

NK Celje U19

NS Mura U19

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 48.7% DRAW 22.1% AWAY 29.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 50.6% 1.80 DRAW 22.8% 4.00 AWAY 26.7% 3.42

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for NS Mura U19 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 29.2% win probability, compared with 26.7% implied by the market. The 2.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: NS Mura U19

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

NK Celje U19 NS Mura U19

Shots 13.3 · On target 5.5 Shots 12.8 · On target 6.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

NK Celje U19 NS Mura U19

Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 4.0

NS Mura U19 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

NK Celje U19 NS Mura U19

The combined recent performance profile favours NS Mura U19.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

NK Celje U19 ↓ -0.01 (-0.6%)

NS Mura U19 ↑ +0.06 (+1.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.