ZFK Skopje 2014 (W) vs ZFK Istatov (W)

18 Sep 2026 · 16:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.1 pp

ZFK Skopje 2014 (W)

ZFK Istatov (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 65.3% DRAW 20.7% AWAY 14.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 69.7% 1.40 DRAW 19.5% 5.00 AWAY 10.8% 9.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for ZFK Istatov (W) relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 14.0% win probability, compared with 10.8% implied by the market. The 3.1 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

ZFK Istatov (W) has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

ZFK Skopje 2014 (W) ZFK Istatov (W)

Shots 8.5 · On target 4.0 Shots 10.0 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

ZFK Skopje 2014 (W) ZFK Istatov (W)

Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 2.5 · On target allowed 0.5

ZFK Istatov (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

ZFK Skopje 2014 (W) ZFK Istatov (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours ZFK Istatov (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

ZFK Skopje 2014 (W) ↑ +0.08 (+6.1%)

ZFK Istatov (W) ↓ -3.00 (-25.0%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.