Slough vs Ebbsfleet United

29 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.3 pp

Slough

Ebbsfleet United

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 15.4% DRAW 18.3% AWAY 66.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 16.5% 5.80 DRAW 19.6% 4.88 AWAY 64.0% 1.49

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Ebbsfleet United

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Slough Ebbsfleet United

Shots 12.5 · On target 3.8 Shots 12.0 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Slough Ebbsfleet United

Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 6.5 Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 2.8

Ebbsfleet United has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Slough Ebbsfleet United

The combined recent performance profile favours Ebbsfleet United.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Slough ↑ +0.81 (+16.1%)

Ebbsfleet United ↓ -0.02 (-1.2%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.