China PR vs Maldives

24 Sep 2026 · 13:35

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

China PR

Maldives

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 96.4% DRAW 2.6% AWAY 1.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 95.8% 1.03 DRAW 3.2% 31.00 AWAY 1.0% 95.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: China PR

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

China PR Maldives

Shots 10.0 · On target 2.5 Shots 5.3 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours China PR, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

China PR Maldives

Shots allowed 3.8 · On target allowed 1.0 Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 2.5

China PR has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

China PR Maldives

The combined recent performance profile favours China PR.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

China PR ↑ +0.02 (+2.4%)

Maldives ↑ +78.00 (+458.8%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.