Sport Clube Gaucho vs Santa Cruz RS

27 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

Sport Clube Gaucho

Santa Cruz RS

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 36.7% DRAW 32.2% AWAY 31.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 35.4% 2.60 DRAW 31.7% 2.90 AWAY 32.9% 2.80

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Sport Clube Gaucho

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sport Clube Gaucho Santa Cruz RS

Shots 14.0 · On target 4.5 Shots 3.8 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours Sport Clube Gaucho, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sport Clube Gaucho Santa Cruz RS

Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 2.3

Santa Cruz RS has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sport Clube Gaucho Santa Cruz RS

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Sport Clube Gaucho ↑ +0.45 (+20.9%)

Santa Cruz RS ↓ -0.25 (-8.2%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.