Patronato Parana vs San Martin SJ

27 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

Patronato Parana

San Martin SJ

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 35.2% DRAW 35.0% AWAY 29.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 34.7% 2.83 DRAW 34.1% 2.88 AWAY 31.3% 3.14

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: San Martin SJ

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Patronato Parana San Martin SJ

Shots 11.5 · On target 2.3 Shots 12.5 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours San Martin SJ, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Patronato Parana San Martin SJ

Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 4.5

Patronato Parana has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Patronato Parana San Martin SJ

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Patronato Parana ↑ +0.28 (+11.0%)

San Martin SJ ↓ -0.11 (-3.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.