Accra Lions FC vs Golden Warriors

18 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

Accra Lions FC

Golden Warriors

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 53.5% DRAW 29.8% AWAY 16.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 53.1% 1.73 DRAW 29.6% 3.10 AWAY 17.4% 5.27

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Accra Lions FC has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Accra Lions FC Golden Warriors

Shots 2.8 · On target 1.3 Shots 2.5 · On target 0.0

Recent attacking output favours Accra Lions FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Accra Lions FC Golden Warriors

Shots allowed 1.0 · On target allowed 0.5 Shots allowed 3.3 · On target allowed 0.8

Accra Lions FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Accra Lions FC Golden Warriors

The combined recent performance profile favours Accra Lions FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Accra Lions FC ↓ -0.06 (-3.5%)

Golden Warriors ↑ +0.51 (+10.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.