Ibrachina U20 vs SC Paulinense U20

26 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.3 pp

Ibrachina U20

SC Paulinense U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 78.8% DRAW 14.5% AWAY 6.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 75.5% 1.30 DRAW 16.4% 6.00 AWAY 8.2% 12.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Ibrachina U20 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 78.8% win probability, compared with 75.5% implied by the market. The 3.3 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Ibrachina U20 has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Ibrachina U20 SC Paulinense U20

Shots 14.5 · On target 4.5 Shots 9.5 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Ibrachina U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Ibrachina U20 SC Paulinense U20

Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 5.8

Ibrachina U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Ibrachina U20 SC Paulinense U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Ibrachina U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Ibrachina U20 = (0.0%)

SC Paulinense U20 ↑ +3.50 (+41.2%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.