CA Atenas vs Plaza Colonia

27 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

CA Atenas

Plaza Colonia

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 36.2% DRAW 31.5% AWAY 32.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 35.4% 2.64 DRAW 31.2% 3.00 AWAY 33.4% 2.80

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: CA Atenas

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

CA Atenas Plaza Colonia

Shots 9.8 · On target 4.0 Shots 9.5 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CA Atenas Plaza Colonia

Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CA Atenas Plaza Colonia

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

CA Atenas ↑ +0.26 (+10.9%)

Plaza Colonia = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.