Club Oriental vs Atletico Fenix Montevideo

27 Sep 2026 · 00:00

OPPORTUNITY

Club Oriental

Atletico Fenix Montevideo

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 31.2% DRAW 31.8% AWAY 37.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 31.3% 3.10 DRAW 31.3% 3.10 AWAY 37.3% 2.60

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Club Oriental

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Club Oriental Atletico Fenix Montevideo

Shots 8.5 · On target 3.8 Shots 7.3 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours Club Oriental, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Club Oriental Atletico Fenix Montevideo

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 2.3

Atletico Fenix Montevideo has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Club Oriental Atletico Fenix Montevideo

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Club Oriental ↑ +0.65 (+23.2%)

Atletico Fenix Montevideo = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.