Alessandria vs ASD Imperia

30 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

Alessandria

ASD Imperia

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 44.7% DRAW 26.5% AWAY 28.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 43.2% 2.21 DRAW 27.0% 3.54 AWAY 29.8% 3.20

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Alessandria

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Alessandria ASD Imperia

Shots 13.3 · On target 6.5 Shots 12.0 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours Alessandria, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Alessandria ASD Imperia

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 5.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Alessandria ASD Imperia

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Alessandria ↑ +0.06 (+2.7%)

ASD Imperia ↓ -0.28 (-8.0%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.