AS Khroub vs USM Annaba

26 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.0 pp

AS Khroub

USM Annaba

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 35.3% DRAW 33.4% AWAY 31.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 33.3% 2.95 DRAW 32.7% 3.00 AWAY 34.0% 2.89

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: AS Khroub

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

AS Khroub USM Annaba

Shots 8.8 · On target 2.5 Shots 5.8 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

AS Khroub USM Annaba

Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 3.5

AS Khroub has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

AS Khroub USM Annaba

The combined recent performance profile favours AS Khroub.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

AS Khroub ↓ -0.81 (-21.4%)

USM Annaba ↑ +0.85 (+41.7%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.