Paradou AC vs NRB Teleghma

26 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.7 pp

Paradou AC

NRB Teleghma

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 69.0% DRAW 21.1% AWAY 10.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 66.2% 1.45 DRAW 22.3% 4.30 AWAY 11.4% 8.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Paradou AC relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 69.0% win probability, compared with 66.2% implied by the market. The 2.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Paradou AC has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Paradou AC NRB Teleghma

Shots 7.5 · On target 4.5 Shots 2.8 · On target 1.0

Recent attacking output favours Paradou AC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Paradou AC NRB Teleghma

Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 4.8

Paradou AC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Paradou AC NRB Teleghma

The combined recent performance profile favours Paradou AC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Paradou AC ↓ -0.12 (-7.7%)

NRB Teleghma ↑ +3.15 (+60.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.