JSM Tiaret vs USM El Harrach

26 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

JSM Tiaret

USM El Harrach

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 25.5% DRAW 35.1% AWAY 39.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 26.3% 3.70 DRAW 34.1% 2.85 AWAY 39.7% 2.45

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: USM El Harrach

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

JSM Tiaret USM El Harrach

Shots 5.8 · On target 2.3 Shots 11.3 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours USM El Harrach, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

JSM Tiaret USM El Harrach

Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 3.8

JSM Tiaret has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

JSM Tiaret USM El Harrach

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

JSM Tiaret ↓ -0.20 (-5.1%)

USM El Harrach ↑ +0.50 (+25.6%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.