MAS Fes vs Renaissance Zemamra

27 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp

MAS Fes

Renaissance Zemamra

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 46.4% DRAW 31.1% AWAY 22.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 48.4% 1.93 DRAW 30.3% 3.08 AWAY 21.3% 4.37

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Renaissance Zemamra

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

MAS Fes Renaissance Zemamra

Shots 10.5 · On target 4.5 Shots 11.0 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

MAS Fes Renaissance Zemamra

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 1.5

Renaissance Zemamra has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

MAS Fes Renaissance Zemamra

The combined recent performance profile favours Renaissance Zemamra.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

MAS Fes ↑ +0.23 (+13.2%)

Renaissance Zemamra ↓ -0.38 (-8.0%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.